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BALLARAT

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Race 7

4:00 PM
2100m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st AHAB (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd ALL SO CLEAR
3rd PHAROAH'S DAUGHTER
4th KAWA (JPN) 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — AHAB (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
AHAB (NZ) P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
KAWA (JPN) W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. AHAB (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.75 $1.28 $4.06
1. ALL SO CLEAR 4 $4.20 $1.50 $5.50
5. LOVE SPARKLES (NZ) 8 $5.50 $1.75 $7.36
7. KAWA (JPN) 11 $6.50 $2.05 $7.38
8. PHAROAH'S DAUGHTER 10 $11.00 $2.90 $11.64
3. KICKING KING 5 $10.00 $2.70 $11.68
11. TOSEN GLORY 6 $34.00 $6.00 $21.87
2. ASHAU VALLEY 1 $41.00 $6.25 $32.62
12. WAY UP HIGH 2 $91.00 $9.50 $50.07
9. DUSTLAND FAIRYTALE 7 $101.00 $11.00 $59.59
10. GEEGEES HISWORD 12 $126.00 $14.00 $64.05
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 95% 22*
2.00–2.49 56% 74% 27*
2.50–3.49 this race 35% 65% 65
3.50–4.99 24% 63% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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