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TOOWOOMBA

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:50 PM R3 6:30 PM R4 7:10 PM R5 7:48 PM R6 8:19 PM R7 8:50 PM

Race 4

7:10 PM
1890m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st EMPRESS ASPEN 📍 Place Pick
2nd LIVEWIRE LASS
3rd BOLERO
4th SHOT DOWN BY LOVE 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — EMPRESS ASPEN finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
EMPRESS ASPEN P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
SHOT DOWN BY LOVE W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. EMPRESS ASPEN FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.70 $1.28 $4.62
3. BLUMSTIEN 11 $5.50 $1.85 $7.12
6. SHOT DOWN BY LOVE 4 $8.00 $2.40 $7.84
1. SEALORD (NZ) 1 $6.50 $2.10 $8.51
4. CAITLIN 2 $8.00 $2.40 $10.36
8. LIVEWIRE LASS 7 $11.00 $3.10 $11.82
7. DOLLY DISCO 10 $14.00 $3.50 $12.05
5. BESIEGE 5 $20.00 $4.25 $15.49
10. BOLERO 8 $21.00 $4.40 $20.35
9. ROYAL GEORGE 3 $91.00 $9.50 $49.85
Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 44% 78% 27*
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 37*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 65% 66
3.50–4.99 25% 50% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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