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PAKENHAM

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:00 PM R9 4:30 PM

Race 7

3:30 PM
1200m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st MAGNARDO โญ Best Bet
2nd DISSALTO
3rd SPIRIT ANGEL
4th FACEOFF
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” MAGNARDO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
MAGNARDO W $1.55
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
7
BELMIA P $1.65
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. MAGNARDO FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.55 $1.02 $2.34
7. BELMIA 11 $6.50 $1.65 $8.40
5. PONTE ARCOBALENO 1 $15.00 $2.80 $12.40
2. PREMIUM RETURN 10 $13.00 $2.65 $12.65
3. ALPINE FOX 7 $12.00 $2.45 $12.71
6. FACEOFF 9 $19.00 $3.40 $17.79
8. INVINCIBLE AMOUR 5 $23.00 $3.90 $20.73
9. SPIRIT ANGEL 4 $41.00 $5.25 $21.74
11. ELLMAKNIFICO (NZ) 3 $41.00 $5.25 $26.26
10. DISSALTO 6 $71.00 $6.75 $38.06
Favourite record at PAKENHAM โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 62% 79% 47*
2.00โ€“2.49 37% 73% 41*
2.50โ€“3.49 40% 78% 86
3.50โ€“4.99 8% 48% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.