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Race 5

3:00 PM
1325m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st PREVENTION
2nd RACEY CASEY
3rd TSARINE (NZ)
4th GODTFRED KIRK 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — LYRICS 'N' SONG didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
LYRICS 'N' SONG W $1.55
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
GODTFRED KIRK P $2.20
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. LYRICS 'N' SONG FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.55 $1.07 $2.53
2. GODTFRED KIRK 7 $6.00 $2.20 $6.11
6. TSARINE (NZ) 1 $7.50 $2.50 $6.53
8. RACEY CASEY 2 $8.00 $2.65 $7.23
7. PREVENTION 5 $15.00 $4.20 $11.74
4. FORMIDABLE FORCE (IRE) 6 $21.00 $5.00 $15.63
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 40% 64% 25*
2.50–3.49 35% 75% 57*
3.50–4.99 24% 66% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.