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TAREE

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:05 PM R3 1:40 PM R4 2:15 PM R5 2:55 PM R6 3:35 PM R7 4:10 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 4

2:15 PM
2000m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st EXORBITANT MISS
2nd LONE STAR DREAM
3rd MR VILLA 💡 Saver
4th SOUND AND VISION (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — DARK JUSTICE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — MR VILLA ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
DARK JUSTICE P $1.45
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
13
MR VILLA W $11.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. DARK JUSTICE FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.60 $1.45 $5.10
9. LONE STAR DREAM 13 $4.20 $1.65 $6.48
5. EXORBITANT MISS 9 $5.00 $1.85 $6.65
13. MR VILLA 5 $11.00 $3.25 $10.99
12. DEEP DRIVE 4 $11.00 $3.25 $12.46
2. SOUND AND VISION (NZ) 7 $14.00 $3.75 $15.29
8. ARGERICH 6 $20.00 $4.50 $18.19
6. FARRAIGE (NZ) 10 $26.00 $5.50 $18.70
10. QUICK BUCK 2 $19.00 $4.40 $19.02
1. MORTLAKE (IRE) 3 $18.00 $4.25 $19.11
11. CHARMED DESTINY (IRE) 15 $71.00 $9.00 $36.87
14. FIREALARM 8 $71.00 $9.00 $45.13
Favourite record at TAREE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 95% 21*
2.00–2.49 27% 73% 22*
2.50–3.49 22% 64% 36*
3.50–4.99 this race 15% 42% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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