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BALLARAT

R1 11:55 AM R2 12:35 PM R3 1:15 PM R4 1:55 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:15 PM

Race 4

1:55 PM
3250m · 3 runners
🏁 Result
1st THE CUNNING FOX (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BITCOIN (NZ)
3rd UNTETHERED (NZ) 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — THE CUNNING FOX (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — UNTETHERED (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
THE CUNNING FOX (NZ) W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
UNTETHERED (NZ) P $0.00
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. THE CUNNING FOX (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.60 $0.00 $2.10
3. UNTETHERED (NZ) 3 $3.60 $0.00 $3.38
2. BITCOIN (NZ) 2 $5.50 $0.00 $4.41
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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