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BALLARAT

R1 11:55 AM R2 12:35 PM R3 1:15 PM R4 1:55 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:15 PM

Race 5

2:35 PM
3250m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st BAZINI
2nd FIERCE FLIGHT
3rd BENBULBEN (NZ)
4th GOONDIWINDI (GB) 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — CHARLIE MESSY HAIR didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
CHARLIE MESSY HAIR P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
GOONDIWINDI (GB) W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. CHARLIE MESSY HAIR FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.80 $1.38 $3.58
3. FIERCE FLIGHT 4 $3.30 $1.55 $4.29
1. BAZINI 2 $3.80 $1.80 $5.23
6. GOONDIWINDI (GB) 3 $9.50 $3.75 $8.09
7. BROADFIELD (GB) 1 $13.00 $4.50 $10.97
5. BENBULBEN (NZ) 7 $16.00 $5.25 $12.25
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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