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BALLARAT

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 1

1:30 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MASTER JACK
2nd PRINCE OF PORTLAND 💡 Saver
3rd WHAT ONCE WAS
4th BACK UP BARBIE
❌ Unplaced — ROJA CALIENTE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — PRINCE OF PORTLAND ran a place
Competitive Lean
Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.
11
ROJA CALIENTE W $2.75·P $1.16
win or place
Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.
6
PRINCE OF PORTLAND P $1.08
Saver · place
Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. ROJA CALIENTE TOP RATED 2 $2.75 $1.16 $3.43
6. PRINCE OF PORTLAND FAV 8 $2.20 $1.08 $3.55
3. BACK UP BARBIE 3 $6.00 $1.45 $6.11
2. MASTER JACK 6 $11.00 $2.35 $10.15
12. WHAT ONCE WAS 4 $14.00 $2.75 $10.77
4. FERRADURA 10 $81.00 $7.00 $37.25
15. MOJO JUNIOR 5 $51.00 $6.00 $37.78
14. RED RAIN 1 $126.00 $9.00 $53.12
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 this race 50% 72% 32*
2.50–3.49 35% 65% 74
3.50–4.99 22% 57% 51*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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