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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 12:44 PM R2 1:19 PM R3 1:53 PM R4 2:29 PM R5 3:09 PM R6 3:44 PM R7 4:24 PM R8 4:59 PM R9 5:34 PM

Race 4

2:29 PM

1400m · 10 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›

🏁 Result

1st AUSTRALIA FOREVER

2nd YOU SEXY THING 💡 Saver

3rd AMALFI DREAMER ⭐ Best Bet

4th BLUE ISLES

〰️ Best Bet placed — AMALFI DREAMER ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — YOU SEXY THING ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

AMALFI DREAMER W $1.65

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

YOU SEXY THING P $1.50

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. AMALFI DREAMER FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.65	$1.04	$2.57
6. YOU SEXY THING	2	$5.50	$1.50	$7.74
4. EXTRA HOT	9	$15.00	$3.00	$12.65
8. HELL'S ON FIRE	3	$16.00	$3.25	$13.11
2. AUSTRALIA FOREVER	5	$17.00	$3.25	$14.27
10. BLUE ISLES	6	$19.00	$3.60	$14.33
5. PACKERS JOURNEY	1	$18.00	$3.50	$14.65
7. MRS PENNY CRACKER	8	$18.00	$3.50	$16.59
1. EVERLASTING KISS	10	$41.00	$5.50	$24.75
9. ONE KIND	7	$151.00	$15.00	$58.12

Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.00–2.49	48%	79%	42*
2.50–3.49	22%	57%	89
3.50–4.99	20%	40%	83

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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