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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:45 PM R4 2:20 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:35 PM R7 4:15 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 1

12:35 PM
900m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st KARKADAAN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MONTE SHELL
3rd COSMIC ECHO
4th HARVEY'S TURN
✅ Best Bet won — KARKADAAN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
KARKADAAN W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
DREAM INVADER P $1.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. KARKADAAN FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.75 $1.04 $2.68
2. HARVEY'S TURN 6 $7.50 $1.80 $6.46
1. DREAM INVADER 3 $6.00 $1.45 $7.10
7. FARCOLO 8 $8.50 $1.95 $9.20
8. MONTE SHELL 11 $8.50 $1.95 $10.02
3. COSMIC ECHO 2 $21.00 $3.60 $12.98
11. RATIVA 1 $81.00 $6.75 $39.77
9. SIMPLY SONNET 9 $81.00 $6.75 $47.15
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 83% 36*
2.00–2.49 38% 78% 45*
2.50–3.49 38% 66% 56*
3.50–4.99 26% 50% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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