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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:45 PM R4 2:20 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:35 PM R7 4:15 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 3

1:45 PM
1250m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st WALLACE STATION
2nd BALLET NOIR (NZ)
3rd MOBILISE 💡 Saver
4th DALLAS DUKE
❌ Unplaced — BECHERS didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — MOBILISE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
BECHERS P $1.45
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
MOBILISE W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. BECHERS FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.80 $1.45 $3.63
2. WALLACE STATION 4 $4.20 $2.00 $4.89
6. BALLET NOIR (NZ) 3 $5.50 $2.40 $7.21
8. MOBILISE 5 $7.50 $3.20 $7.22
1. DALLAS DUKE 1 $7.00 $2.90 $8.31
3. ZENSEN 6 $15.00 $4.80 $14.34
5. AUTUMN FOREVER 2 $34.00 $7.50 $18.99
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 36*
2.00–2.49 38% 78% 45*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 66% 56*
3.50–4.99 26% 50% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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