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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:45 PM R4 2:20 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:35 PM R7 4:15 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 4

2:20 PM
1900m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st LIYAH'S GIRL 📍 Place Pick
2nd ROYAL PRINCESS
3rd QUIRKY PRINCESS
4th WHO I THINK I AM
✅ Place bet — won outright — LIYAH'S GIRL finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
9
LIYAH'S GIRL W $2.10·P $1.14
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. LIYAH'S GIRL FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.10 $1.14 $3.62
5. ROYAL PRINCESS 14 $4.80 $1.45 $5.40
3. WHO I THINK I AM 1 $8.50 $2.25 $8.19
11. ALL TOO CLEVER 5 $6.50 $1.90 $8.59
4. HONEYHILL 9 $15.00 $3.25 $12.07
2. COURTING EMILY (FR) 10 $16.00 $3.40 $15.91
10. ELITE DELIGHT 16 $31.00 $4.80 $20.13
6. MISS BINMAN 11 $41.00 $6.00 $26.30
7. QUIRKY PRINCESS 3 $51.00 $6.75 $27.01
8. QUADRIA 13 $51.00 $6.75 $34.28
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 36*
2.00–2.49 this race 38% 78% 45*
2.50–3.49 38% 66% 56*
3.50–4.99 26% 50% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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