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PAKENHAM

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:00 PM R9 4:30 PM

Race 4

2:00 PM
1200m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st TAG THE BRIDE 💡 Saver
2nd ROCK ABOUT
3rd COWBOYKICKEDFIVE
4th COVERT MISSION (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — COVERT MISSION (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver won — TAG THE BRIDE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
COVERT MISSION (NZ) W $1.45
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
12
TAG THE BRIDE P $1.18
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. COVERT MISSION (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.45 $1.02 $2.26
12. TAG THE BRIDE 8 $3.30 $1.18 $4.10
6. MYHOMECOMINGQUEEN 1 $26.00 $3.70 $16.69
2. PLANET MARS 11 $26.00 $3.60 $17.67
4. SPIDERMAN 7 $26.00 $3.60 $17.89
9. MASTER DUBOIS 13 $23.00 $3.40 $18.54
13. MOONLIGHT ROMANCE 2 $61.00 $5.50 $29.39
3. ROCK ABOUT 3 $26.00 $3.60 $35.73
5. MISS EXCEPTIONAL 15 $71.00 $5.75 $41.17
15. COWBOYKICKEDFIVE 14 $41.00 $4.50 $1,510.53
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 62% 79% 47*
2.00–2.49 36% 71% 45*
2.50–3.49 37% 77% 95
3.50–4.99 8% 49% 51*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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