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BALLARAT

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 1

1:30 PM
2100m ยท 11 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st JUST SWIFT ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
2nd ONLY OPERA
3rd CONVAAYA (NZ)
4th STELLETTA
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” JUST SWIFT finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win โ€” place or pass.
10
JUST SWIFT P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
SMART MOVES W $8.00
Saver ยท small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form โ€” a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. JUST SWIFT FAV TOP RATED 13 $2.75 $1.28 $4.02
11. ONLY OPERA 10 $4.60 $1.55 $6.19
1. CONVAAYA (NZ) 1 $7.00 $2.05 $8.32
4. SMART MOVES 4 $8.00 $2.35 $8.59
3. LE PLUS RAPIDE 7 $10.00 $2.70 $10.49
12. YAKAPNA 5 $14.00 $3.50 $12.05
13. STELLETTA 2 $15.00 $3.60 $13.29
5. STAR OF TENNYSON 3 $26.00 $4.75 $21.04
2. KOVU 6 $71.00 $8.00 $39.12
6. THE TORONADO KID 8 $151.00 $14.00 $68.57
8. CHURCHILLENA 11 $41.00 $6.25 $84.20
Favourite record at BALLARAT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50โ€“3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00โ€“2.49 47% 71% 34*
2.50โ€“3.49 this race 35% 66% 77
3.50โ€“4.99 23% 58% 53*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.