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BALLARAT

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 2

2:00 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st DOUBLE DODGER
2nd PEACE SEEKER
3rd FIRE IN YOUR HEART
4th HAVANA MOON 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — HAVANA MOON didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
3
HAVANA MOON W $2.25·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. HAVANA MOON FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.25 $1.20 $3.28
8. PEACE SEEKER 16 $4.60 $1.50 $5.65
11. DOUBLE DODGER 9 $6.00 $1.85 $7.09
12. FIRE IN YOUR HEART 10 $7.50 $2.20 $9.43
10. TRIGGER WARNING 2 $19.00 $4.00 $14.46
9. AURORA MINK 14 $31.00 $5.00 $20.39
7. OUR INHERITANCE 5 $14.00 $3.30 $21.76
4. HOT POT DOT 4 $51.00 $6.75 $27.70
16. ROCK IT FUEL 7 $41.00 $6.25 $29.44
1. MR NIPPER 12 $81.00 $8.00 $43.97
5. KENYA WIN 8 $81.00 $8.00 $70.95
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 this race 47% 71% 34*
2.50–3.49 35% 66% 77
3.50–4.99 23% 58% 53*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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