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BALLARAT

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 4

3:00 PM
1500m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st SPIRITED DEFENCE
2nd SURREAL I AM 📍 Place Pick
3rd RESET THE JAZZ
4th DOUBLE PI
✅ Place bet landed — SURREAL I AM ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
SURREAL I AM P $1.40
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
7
BRONTE BEACH W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. SURREAL I AM FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.80 $1.40 $5.35
6. SPIRITED DEFENCE 6 $4.40 $1.50 $5.87
9. BANKNOTE HUSTLER 4 $6.00 $2.05 $7.57
7. BRONTE BEACH 8 $7.50 $2.35 $8.22
8. DOUBLE PI 2 $13.00 $3.30 $11.32
5. KENGERO (FR) 5 $12.00 $3.20 $11.75
1. RESET THE JAZZ 10 $11.00 $2.90 $12.78
2. ANGRY SKIES 9 $14.00 $3.50 $14.39
4. LE FERRARI 3 $14.00 $3.50 $14.71
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.80) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 48% 70% 33*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 76
3.50–4.99 this race 23% 58% 53*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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