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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:35 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:50 PM R6 4:25 PM R7 5:00 PM

Race 6

4:25 PM
1350m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ERINA
2nd BEVERLY HILLS
3rd PEARLER
4th BLENHEIM GIRL 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — DIVINE SECRETS (NZ) didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
DIVINE SECRETS (NZ) W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
BLENHEIM GIRL P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. DIVINE SECRETS (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 12 $1.90 $1.08 $4.15
2. BLENHEIM GIRL 10 $4.80 $1.40 $4.98
9. BEVERLY HILLS 6 $9.00 $2.25 $6.89
10. DIAMOND MODEL 8 $11.00 $2.45 $8.01
11. ERINA 4 $10.00 $2.35 $8.76
12. FIRE 'N' STONE 3 $19.00 $3.70 $10.01
8. TULIPWOOD 2 $17.00 $3.40 $18.20
15. PEARLER 1 $151.00 $12.00 $55.74
6. PELEVECCHIO 13 $26.00 $4.25 $1,021.83
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 82% 38*
2.00–2.49 40% 79% 47*
2.50–3.49 39% 68% 59*
3.50–4.99 26% 50% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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