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R1 1:12 PM R2 1:46 PM R3 2:21 PM R4 2:56 PM R5 3:31 PM R6 4:06 PM R7 4:46 PM R8 5:23 PM

Race 5

3:31 PM
1450m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MUSKITO 💡 Saver
2nd INDEFINITE (NZ)
3rd FISTSOFFURY
4th BLACKTHORN 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — BLACKTHORN didn't feature
✅ Saver won — MUSKITO finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
BLACKTHORN P $2.05
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
MUSKITO W $4.40
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. BLACKTHORN TOP RATED 6 $4.20 $2.05 $3.93
7. MUSKITO 7 $4.40 $2.15 $4.22
4. FISTSOFFURY 9 $7.00 $3.00 $5.82
8. CLUEDO (NZ) 11 $7.00 $3.00 $5.84
1. KHABALOV 2 $14.00 $4.75 $8.85
11. LUCKY JIM 4 $41.00 $9.50 $20.74
3. INDEFINITE (NZ) FAV 3 $2.80 $1.45 $199.67
Favourite record at CAIRNS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 13% 50% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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