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TOOWOOMBA

R1 5:24 PM R2 6:00 PM R3 6:40 PM R4 7:20 PM R5 7:54 PM R6 8:28 PM R7 8:59 PM R8 9:31 PM

Race 1

5:24 PM
1300m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st TOSCANELLA
2nd INVISIBLE TARGET
3rd CAPITAL CEE
4th I STOLE IT
❌ Unplaced — SIMBA'S PRIDE didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
SIMBA'S PRIDE P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
PUREZZA W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. SIMBA'S PRIDE FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.80 $1.26 $4.63
13. INVISIBLE TARGET 3 $4.60 $1.60 $5.76
11. SHE'S BRUTAL 9 $5.50 $1.85 $6.69
3. PUREZZA 7 $8.00 $2.30 $9.19
2. I STOLE IT 11 $8.50 $2.40 $9.78
10. TOSCANELLA 15 $17.00 $3.90 $13.35
14. PEACH GALANTES 12 $16.00 $3.75 $14.25
9. LOVE TO BE PROUD 14 $26.00 $4.75 $20.17
8. CAPITAL CEE 8 $31.00 $5.25 $24.10
12. AUTOFICTION 2 $151.00 $14.00 $72.81
Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 45% 77% 31*
2.00–2.49 30% 65% 43*
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 64% 76
3.50–4.99 24% 55% 33*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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