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GRAFTON

R1 1:06 PM R2 1:41 PM R3 2:16 PM R4 2:51 PM R5 3:26 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:41 PM

Race 3

2:16 PM
1181m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd SPIRIT FOX
3rd SINFULL
4th MIDWEST PRINCESS
✅ Place bet — won outright — MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) W $2.25·P $1.10
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. MONGOLIAN SPRING (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.25 $1.10 $3.43
6. SINFULL 10 $2.90 $1.22 $4.05
3. DRAHOMIRA 9 $7.00 $1.80 $7.26
5. MIDWEST PRINCESS 3 $10.00 $2.30 $9.87
9. LEGIN 1 $21.00 $3.90 $15.96
10. PINETO LAD 8 $31.00 $4.60 $21.08
2. GOLD PUMA 5 $31.00 $4.50 $23.87
4. SPIRIT FOX 7 $51.00 $6.00 $30.83
7. REPHRASE 2 $81.00 $7.25 $42.41
11. CLAN D'ORO 6 $151.00 $12.00 $71.60
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 87% 23*
2.00–2.49 this race 37% 83% 30*
2.50–3.49 24% 66% 38*
3.50–4.99 18% 43% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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