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GRAFTON

R1 1:06 PM R2 1:41 PM R3 2:16 PM R4 2:51 PM R5 3:26 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:41 PM

Race 6

4:05 PM
1410m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st LOLITA
2nd HOTZINO (NZ)
3rd THIEM 📍 Place Pick
4th ZOU BIG BOY
✅ Place bet landed — THIEM ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
THIEM P $1.45
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
3
MONTE OUTLANDER W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. THIEM FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.70 $1.45 $4.92
6. HOTZINO (NZ) 7 $4.40 $1.65 $6.05
1. ZOU BIG BOY 8 $6.50 $2.15 $7.83
2. PICUPSTIXX 6 $6.00 $2.10 $8.32
3. MONTE OUTLANDER 2 $9.50 $2.75 $11.25
7. LOLITA 9 $14.00 $3.70 $15.34
10. MUM KNOWS 13 $16.00 $4.00 $15.59
11. SUPER JOHNNY JOYA 11 $16.00 $4.00 $15.64
9. STRATTON 5 $31.00 $5.75 $22.70
12. STAR SEEKER 10 $31.00 $5.75 $25.10
13. TERMITE 12 $101.00 $11.00 $56.19
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.70) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 87% 23*
2.00–2.49 37% 83% 30*
2.50–3.49 24% 66% 38*
3.50–4.99 this race 18% 43% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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