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BALLARAT

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:30 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:30 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:30 PM R9 5:00 PM

Race 2

1:30 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st 2,5
2nd OTTALAUS (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd HELLO MISTRESS (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — ZIGGY BAMA didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — OTTALAUS (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
ZIGGY BAMA W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
OTTALAUS (NZ) P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. ZIGGY BAMA FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.06 $2.84
1. OTTALAUS (NZ) 2 $4.40 $1.30 $5.14
7. HELLO MISTRESS (NZ) 3 $5.00 $1.36 $5.61
2. SHARE THE MUSIC 6 $9.00 $2.05 $9.20
3. SILVER CAPITAL 8 $10.00 $2.25 $11.52
6. COCO MOJO 4 $31.00 $4.40 $20.12
8. IMMORTAL DIVA 5 $126.00 $8.50 $54.44
9. RYOKANS 12 $201.00 $13.00 $86.37
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 83% 29*
2.00–2.49 47% 69% 36*
2.50–3.49 35% 66% 80
3.50–4.99 23% 58% 53*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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