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TAREE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:15 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 1

12:50 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st WILD MONARCH ⭐ Best Bet
2nd LAST METAPHOR 💡 Saver
3rd EXPENSIVE ICON
4th MR ACCURATE (NZ)
✅ Best Bet won — WILD MONARCH finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LAST METAPHOR ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
WILD MONARCH W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
LAST METAPHOR P $1.26
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. WILD MONARCH FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.00 $1.06 $2.92
10. LAST METAPHOR 3 $3.50 $1.26 $4.20
9. KANMURU 4 $5.00 $1.36 $5.84
4. EXPENSIVE ICON 10 $9.50 $2.10 $13.42
7. MARKWELL EMMY 5 $31.00 $4.25 $17.55
1. MADAME REBEL 1 $23.00 $3.75 $17.58
8. MR ACCURATE (NZ) 2 $34.00 $4.40 $22.35
6. LOVIN' THE VIEW (NZ) 6 $126.00 $8.00 $69.77
Favourite record at TAREE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 95% 21*
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 73% 26*
2.50–3.49 24% 65% 37*
3.50–4.99 14% 43% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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