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TAREE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:15 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 4

2:40 PM
1300m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ALABAMA CHARM
2nd HELLO G'DAY (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
3rd SU MISURA
4th RIVER JORDAN 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — HELLO G'DAY (NZ) ran a place
Competitive Lean
Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.
13
HELLO G'DAY (NZ) W $2.60·P $1.16
win or place
Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.
5
RIVER JORDAN P $1.09
Saver · place
Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
13. HELLO G'DAY (NZ) TOP RATED 7 $2.60 $1.16 $3.57
5. RIVER JORDAN FAV 2 $2.35 $1.09 $3.67
7. ALABAMA CHARM 12 $5.50 $1.45 $6.30
10. SU MISURA 6 $13.00 $2.65 $11.65
12. ALMAS JEWEL (NZ) 11 $19.00 $3.40 $14.99
11. SYLVAN 9 $21.00 $3.70 $15.06
1. DON'T TELL HARRY 5 $41.00 $5.00 $25.70
9. REPEAT OFFENDER 8 $126.00 $9.00 $53.14
2. EINSTEIN'S THEORY 14 $201.00 $12.00 $82.01
Favourite record at TAREE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 95% 21*
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 73% 26*
2.50–3.49 22% 64% 36*
3.50–4.99 15% 44% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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