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WARRNAMBOOL

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 1

1:30 PM
1700m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st LE PLUS RAPIDE
2nd HALEMO
3rd WINTER ARC 💡 Saver
4th HIS LADY BAY (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — HIS LADY BAY (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — WINTER ARC ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
HIS LADY BAY (NZ) P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
WINTER ARC W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. HIS LADY BAY (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 10 $2.70 $1.26 $4.08
7. ALL MOONLITE 8 $4.00 $1.40 $5.13
10. WINTER ARC 1 $10.00 $2.65 $8.83
4. LE PLUS RAPIDE 7 $7.00 $2.10 $8.96
5. SHAW CAN FLY 4 $7.00 $2.10 $9.13
2. HALEMO 2 $12.00 $2.90 $11.46
3. HELTER PELTZER 6 $19.00 $4.00 $16.10
1. CHERCOVER'S AWARD 3 $26.00 $4.50 $21.23
6. THE NOBLE STEED 5 $126.00 $12.00 $56.70
9. VICTORY BLUES (NZ) 9 $201.00 $15.00 $86.72
Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 55% 85% 20*
2.50–3.49 this race 25% 71% 24*
3.50–4.99 29% 58% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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