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MORNINGTON

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:30 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:30 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:30 PM R9 5:00 PM

Race 7

4:00 PM
1500m · 12 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st CORONATIONHERCULES
2nd TWISTED LOVE (NZ)
3rd OVERPRICED
4th STAY HUMBLE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — STAY HUMBLE didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
STAY HUMBLE P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
CROWN CRUSHER W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. STAY HUMBLE FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.75 $1.30 $4.66
4. CORONATIONHERCULES 8 $4.40 $1.65 $5.90
2. CROWN CRUSHER 7 $9.50 $2.75 $10.40
3. MEH KEFFI 11 $8.50 $2.50 $10.55
9. DOLCE CAROLINA 4 $12.00 $3.30 $11.51
5. OVERPRICED 13 $12.00 $3.30 $12.79
10. SHUBAEL 1 $15.00 $3.90 $14.97
7. DIAMANDA 5 $23.00 $4.75 $16.82
8. TWISTED LOVE (NZ) 14 $17.00 $4.20 $18.25
11. WASHINGTON LILAC 6 $19.00 $4.40 $19.32
14. STELLA CANTANTE 2 $126.00 $15.00 $59.29
15. SHOUT OUT GIRL 12 $201.00 $17.00 $97.24
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 25% 75% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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