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DARWIN

R1 2:57 PM R2 3:30 PM R3 4:01 PM R4 4:41 PM R5 5:20 PM R6 5:58 PM

Race 1

2:57 PM

1600m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st MIAMI BABY 💡 Saver

2nd BIDEN TIME ⭐ Best Bet

3rd BRYCE

4th HELL AND BACK

〰️ Best Bet placed — BIDEN TIME ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — MIAMI BABY finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

BIDEN TIME W $1.75

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

MIAMI BABY P $1.85

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. BIDEN TIME FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.75	$1.18	$2.75
3. MIAMI BABY	2	$4.20	$1.85	$4.75
2. HELL AND BACK	1	$6.00	$2.40	$6.90
6. NEW ENTERPRISE	4	$7.50	$2.80	$8.51
4. BRYCE	6	$18.00	$5.00	$12.87
5. DANGER MAN	5	$26.00	$6.25	$18.57
7. MY LUNA	7	$61.00	$12.00	$31.06

Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	62%	86%	29*
2.00–2.49	43%	81%	47*
2.50–3.49	36%	66%	53*
3.50–4.99	30%	57%	30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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