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IPSWICH

R1 1:18 PM R2 1:53 PM R3 2:28 PM R4 3:03 PM R5 3:38 PM R6 4:13 PM R7 4:48 PM

Race 1

1:18 PM
1710m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st SIR ARROGONCE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MAREMOTO 💡 Saver
3rd LOTTERY LINK
4th CHANCE DE LUNE
✅ Best Bet won — SIR ARROGONCE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MAREMOTO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
11
SIR ARROGONCE W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
MAREMOTO P $1.18
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. SIR ARROGONCE FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.80 $1.03 $2.53
10. MAREMOTO 9 $3.30 $1.18 $4.21
5. LOTTERY LINK 1 $6.50 $1.40 $7.45
14. KONIGSTEIN 4 $18.00 $2.80 $15.43
7. AREMKAY 5 $51.00 $5.25 $22.73
2. CHANCE DE LUNE 8 $51.00 $5.25 $26.85
15. CRUNCH TIME (NZ) 16 $41.00 $4.60 $28.33
6. RUBICK'S SHADOW 6 $61.00 $5.75 $32.13
13. SLIGHTLY SQUEEZE 3 $101.00 $7.00 $48.25
Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 62% 89% 37*
2.00–2.49 40% 87% 47*
2.50–3.49 21% 62% 106
3.50–4.99 31% 54% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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