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IPSWICH

R1 1:18 PM R2 1:53 PM R3 2:28 PM R4 3:03 PM R5 3:38 PM R6 4:13 PM R7 4:48 PM

Race 4

3:03 PM
1350m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LEBANESE 📍 Place Pick
2nd BLUISH HUE
3rd KADESKY
4th TILL DUSK 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — LEBANESE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
LEBANESE P $1.16
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
TILL DUSK W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. LEBANESE FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.65 $1.16 $3.69
2. BLUISH HUE 4 $2.65 $1.14 $3.93
7. TILL DUSK 8 $7.00 $1.75 $7.02
6. KADESKY 10 $11.00 $2.35 $10.58
5. MISHANI MOET 1 $13.00 $2.60 $11.31
10. TEN CARAT LUCY 12 $31.00 $4.40 $17.75
11. BOLSHEVIC ROAD 3 $26.00 $4.00 $18.58
1. APOLLO TEN 5 $41.00 $4.80 $25.83
Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 62% 89% 37*
2.00–2.49 40% 87% 47*
2.50–3.49 this race 21% 62% 106
3.50–4.99 31% 54% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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