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CARNARVON

R1 4:27 PM R2 5:01 PM R3 5:31 PM R4 6:09 PM R5 6:44 PM R6 7:19 PM

Race 3

5:31 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st ADDICTIVE DREAM
2nd MAGIC CARATS 📍 Place Pick
3rd COSTA STAR
4th AMELIA'S FROST
✅ Place bet landed — MAGIC CARATS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
MAGIC CARATS P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
COUPE DEBURJ W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. MAGIC CARATS FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.70 $1.30 $4.37
2. COSTA STAR 3 $3.80 $1.45 $5.43
4. COUPE DEBURJ 8 $8.00 $2.40 $8.81
6. DEMETRIOUS 6 $8.00 $2.40 $9.58
3. ADDICTIVE DREAM 11 $8.00 $2.40 $9.78
8. DASHING DIVA 9 $11.00 $3.10 $12.06
9. AMELIA'S FROST 7 $23.00 $4.75 $19.02
10. HOT NOVA 10 $26.00 $5.00 $19.21
5. LADY MAYFLOWER 4 $31.00 $5.50 $25.57
7. RHAENYA 2 $61.00 $8.00 $35.18
11. UNRULY DAME 5 $201.00 $17.00 $85.10
Favourite record at CARNARVON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 61% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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