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TOWNSVILLE

R1 1:07 PM R2 1:42 PM R3 2:17 PM R4 2:57 PM R5 3:34 PM R6 4:12 PM R7 4:50 PM R8 5:30 PM

Race 4

2:57 PM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st NORTHERN PRIDE
2nd TURN BIRD
3rd TAMBO'S JUSTICE 📍 Place Pick
4th COLLEANO 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — TAMBO'S JUSTICE ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
TAMBO'S JUSTICE P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
7
COLLEANO W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
4
TURN BIRD W $13.00
Form view · saver 8.1% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 50% (4 starts) · Recent form: x771
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. TAMBO'S JUSTICE FAV TOP RATED 8 $3.60 $1.36 $5.01
5. AGED CARE 5 $5.00 $1.65 $6.32
7. COLLEANO 7 $5.50 $1.80 $6.36
3. FREE CARRY 6 $6.50 $2.05 $7.51
8. ARCTIC BEAR 4 $7.50 $2.25 $8.28
6. CANBERRA LEGEND (IRE) 3 $9.00 $2.45 $11.14
4. TURN BIRD 1 $13.00 $3.25 $12.00
1. NORTHERN PRIDE 2 $17.00 $3.80 $17.22
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 83% 29*
2.00–2.49 52% 70% 33*
2.50–3.49 28% 70% 76
3.50–4.99 this race 23% 49% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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