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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM R8 5:20 PM

Race 2

1:35 PM
1400m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st FEDERALIST ⭐ Best Bet
2nd LAFITE 💡 Saver
3rd TIGER TURF
4th NOMADIC
✅ Best Bet won — FEDERALIST finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LAFITE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FEDERALIST W $1.32
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
LAFITE P $1.60
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FEDERALIST FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.32 $1.02 $2.17
7. LAFITE 6 $8.50 $1.60 $8.84
2. NOMADIC 10 $8.50 $1.55 $8.93
4. RIVER JORDAN 3 $26.00 $3.40 $14.99
3. FRANKIE'S BOY 8 $17.00 $2.60 $15.40
5. TIGER TURF 2 $26.00 $3.40 $15.92
6. LORD WOOTTON 4 $31.00 $3.80 $16.31
8. RIGA 11 $51.00 $4.75 $23.16
9. TIGHTROPE WALKER 7 $201.00 $9.50 $69.31
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 53% 80% 40*
2.00–2.49 42% 79% 48*
2.50–3.49 38% 71% 66
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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