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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM R8 5:20 PM

Race 3

2:10 PM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st YOUR COLOUR
2nd MADE IN ITALY
3rd SATIN SERENADE
4th VALIANT DREAMER
❌ Unplaced — WAIHEKE ROSE (NZ) didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
6
WAIHEKE ROSE (NZ) W $1.80·P $1.02
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. WAIHEKE ROSE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.80 $1.02 $2.54
3. SATIN SERENADE 2 $2.80 $1.06 $3.58
2. MADE IN ITALY 4 $9.00 $1.60 $8.53
8. MEMORISE 12 $13.00 $2.15 $11.95
11. YOUR COLOUR 7 $31.00 $3.75 $21.52
14. VALIANT DREAMER 9 $61.00 $5.00 $28.45
7. GOLDEN PRINCESS 13 $101.00 $6.25 $40.72
10. QUEEN OF THINKING 3 $91.00 $6.00 $49.84
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 53% 80% 40*
2.00–2.49 42% 79% 48*
2.50–3.49 38% 71% 66
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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