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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:40 PM R8 5:20 PM

Race 6

4:05 PM
2300m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st AETHELWULF ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STEEL BLAZE
3rd BELLA MONTAGNA (NZ) 💡 Saver
4th AMPLIFY
✅ Best Bet won — AETHELWULF finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — BELLA MONTAGNA (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
AETHELWULF W $1.20
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
BELLA MONTAGNA (NZ) P $2.60
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. AETHELWULF FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.20 $1.02 $1.70
3. BELLA MONTAGNA (NZ) 4 $11.00 $2.60 $9.89
5. ELLIPTICAL 2 $13.00 $3.00 $11.22
1. CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD (IRE) 6 $12.00 $2.70 $11.86
7. AMPLIFY 7 $26.00 $4.50 $14.73
4. AGE OF SAIL (GB) 8 $31.00 $4.80 $21.61
8. STEEL BLAZE 1 $101.00 $9.50 $46.75
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 53% 80% 40*
2.00–2.49 42% 79% 48*
2.50–3.49 38% 71% 66
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.