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CANBERRA

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:20 PM R3 1:55 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:25 PM R8 5:05 PM

Race 4

2:35 PM

1000m · 10 runners

🏁 Result

1st MR XPLODE

2nd LUCSAIN ⭐ Best Bet

3rd FIZZ WIZZ

4th PRAIRIE STAR 💡 Saver

〰️ Best Bet placed — LUCSAIN ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

LUCSAIN W $1.22

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

PRAIRIE STAR P $1.80

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. LUCSAIN FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.22	$1.02	$1.93
12. PRAIRIE STAR	3	$9.50	$1.80	$8.73
2. WILD ROMEO	8	$16.00	$2.45	$13.51
8. HIGHWIRE ARTIST	11	$15.00	$2.40	$13.64
5. MR XPLODE	6	$15.00	$2.40	$14.79
10. ENTIRELY OAK	9	$26.00	$3.50	$19.21
4. FIZZ WIZZ	4	$31.00	$3.80	$26.62
6. ANOTHER HARRY	10	$51.00	$4.80	$33.75
13. STEFFIEWAH	13	$101.00	$6.75	$51.67
9. DESIGNED SPINDLE	7	$151.00	$8.00	$72.08

Favourite record at CANBERRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99	45%	80%	20*
2.00–2.49	23%	62%	26*
2.50–3.49	28%	76%	50*
3.50–4.99	24%	64%	25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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