| Runner | Barrier | Win | Place | Our rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9. SMOKE ON THE WATER FAV TOP RATED | 3 | $3.40 | $1.45 | $5.42 |
| 3. ITALIAN DANCER | 1 | $6.50 | $2.35 | $7.96 |
| 8. HOLY FLASH | 5 | $7.50 | $2.45 | $9.74 |
| 6. NIGHTCAPPED | 7 | $8.50 | $2.70 | $9.92 |
| 4. SENESCHAL (IRE) | 6 | $8.00 | $2.60 | $10.18 |
| 2. DON'TCHA THINK | 4 | $8.50 | $2.70 | $10.58 |
| 10. WARNA | 8 | $13.00 | $3.70 | $13.56 |
| 1. ITALIAN RIVIERA | 12 | $16.00 | $4.00 | $15.95 |
| 11. CAXTON LASS | 2 | $16.00 | $4.20 | $16.11 |
| 5. CENTENNIAL PARK (NZ) | 9 | $17.00 | $4.25 | $17.23 |
| 12. ECHO HUNTER | 11 | $31.00 | $6.00 | $26.86 |
How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.40) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.
| Fav price | Win | Place | Races |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50–1.99 | 59% | 89% | 37* |
| 2.00–2.49 | 37% | 67% | 52* |
| 2.50–3.49 this race | 27% | 65% | 88 |
| 3.50–4.99 | 23% | 57% | 60 |
Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.