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R1 1:41 PM R2 2:16 PM R3 2:54 PM R4 3:29 PM R5 4:04 PM R6 4:39 PM R7 5:20 PM

Race 2

2:16 PM
1200m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Shoalhaven City Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st DEFIANCE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BOUND TO FIRE
3rd LADY GOT BLING 💡 Saver
4th JAMARNI
✅ Best Bet won — DEFIANCE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — LADY GOT BLING ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
DEFIANCE W $1.34
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
LADY GOT BLING P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. DEFIANCE FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.34 $1.02 $2.28
8. LADY GOT BLING 12 $6.00 $1.32 $6.40
2. BRUCEY 4 $8.50 $1.55 $7.37
9. AZZUCCA 10 $19.00 $2.75 $13.36
10. EYE FOR STYLE 2 $21.00 $3.00 $13.60
7. INITIATE 3 $41.00 $4.25 $23.22
11. BOUND TO FIRE 5 $51.00 $4.80 $26.88
4. JAMARNI 11 $71.00 $5.50 $34.82
13. FLASH PIPER 1 $201.00 $9.50 $83.52
Favourite record at NOWRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 30% 65% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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