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TOOWOOMBA

R1 1:48 PM R2 2:23 PM R3 2:58 PM R4 3:37 PM R5 4:17 PM R6 5:00 PM R7 5:40 PM R8 6:20 PM R9 7:00 PM R10 7:43 PM

Race 1

1:48 PM
1300m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st UPSTART LOVER
2nd STRAIGHT BLAST
3rd PERLE DE CHOCOLAT
4th FIRE AND LIGHT
❌ Unplaced — THATS ARCHIES GIRL didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
THATS ARCHIES GIRL P $1.38
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
DEEP TIARA W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
12
UPSTART LOVER W $14.00
Form view · saver 9.9% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 50% (4 starts) · Recent form: 9621
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. THATS ARCHIES GIRL FAV TOP RATED 11 $3.40 $1.38 $5.06
10. PERLE DE CHOCOLAT 4 $4.00 $1.45 $5.86
15. STRAIGHT BLAST 17 $6.00 $2.10 $7.20
9. DEEP TIARA 6 $10.00 $2.80 $9.75
1. FIRE AND LIGHT 12 $8.00 $2.50 $9.86
12. UPSTART LOVER 3 $14.00 $3.75 $12.54
13. BUTT HEADS 2 $21.00 $4.75 $16.16
11. SHOW ME THE STARS 5 $23.00 $5.00 $16.98
3. ULTIMATE OUTCOME 16 $34.00 $6.25 $25.56
14. GOLDEN LOOM 1 $31.00 $6.25 $27.55
7. JUSTELA 14 $126.00 $17.00 $77.13
Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.40) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 47% 78% 32*
2.00–2.49 26% 70% 50*
2.50–3.49 this race 27% 60% 84
3.50–4.99 23% 49% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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