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GRAFTON

R1 1:00 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:45 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:35 PM R8 5:10 PM

Race 3

2:10 PM
1410m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st STEADY ON
2nd CREDIBILITY
3rd KICK ON CHARLIE 💡 Saver
4th DARK MARTIAN 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — DARK MARTIAN didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — KICK ON CHARLIE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
11
DARK MARTIAN P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
13
KICK ON CHARLIE W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. DARK MARTIAN FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.75 $1.26 $4.08
2. CREDIBILITY 9 $3.40 $1.32 $5.17
6. STEADY ON 12 $4.60 $1.50 $6.25
13. KICK ON CHARLIE 10 $8.00 $2.35 $7.94
9. LA REGINA 2 $12.00 $2.90 $10.17
4. MACC 3 $17.00 $3.75 $15.59
1. BUCKET LIST 1 $41.00 $6.00 $29.63
3. LUMINIZED (NZ) 14 $51.00 $6.75 $33.30
12. EXCLUSIVE ONE 8 $126.00 $12.00 $57.09
14. TICK 7 $126.00 $13.00 $61.32
7. FINAL PRETENCE 13 $151.00 $14.00 $65.05
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 59% 85% 27*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 27% 60% 52*
3.50–4.99 20% 47% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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