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PAKENHAM

R1 6:15 PM R2 6:45 PM R3 7:15 PM R4 7:45 PM R5 8:15 PM R6 8:45 PM R7 9:15 PM R8 9:45 PM

Race 5

8:15 PM
1000m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st HEADBANGER ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ICED POPPY
3rd MILOS FILOS 💡 Saver
4th SHOOTING FOR STARS
✅ Best Bet won — HEADBANGER finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MILOS FILOS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
HEADBANGER W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
MILOS FILOS P $1.85
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. HEADBANGER FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.95 $1.18 $2.76
2. MILOS FILOS 6 $4.60 $1.85 $5.54
1. SHAIME 3 $9.00 $3.10 $6.79
4. ICED POPPY 10 $7.00 $2.60 $6.91
7. SWEET VIXEN 9 $6.00 $2.30 $7.19
10. SHOOTING FOR STARS 5 $126.00 $14.00 $38.26
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 63% 80% 51*
2.00–2.49 34% 70% 47*
2.50–3.49 37% 76% 97
3.50–4.99 8% 49% 51*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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