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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:30 PM R2 7:00 PM R3 7:30 PM R4 8:00 PM R5 8:30 PM R6 9:00 PM R7 9:30 PM R8 10:00 PM

Race 7

9:30 PM
2000m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st LITTLE EL 📍 Place Pick
2nd BAILED (NZ)
3rd DA SILVER FLASH
4th IRISH BLOOM
✅ Place bet — won outright — LITTLE EL finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
5
LITTLE EL W $2.40·P $1.34
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LITTLE EL FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.40 $1.34 $3.55
1. BAILED (NZ) 6 $2.75 $1.40 $3.81
4. LAST TREMBLE 2 $4.60 $2.15 $5.26
6. IRISH BLOOM 1 $12.00 $4.25 $10.16
2. OPENSEA (NZ) 4 $16.00 $5.25 $13.12
3. DA SILVER FLASH 7 $26.00 $7.00 $17.59
7. WHITE STAR SUZIE 5 $41.00 $9.00 $29.31
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 43% 83% 23*
2.00–2.49 this race 32% 84% 25*
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 47*
3.50–4.99 16% 56% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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