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GEELONG

R1 2:05 PM R2 2:40 PM R3 3:15 PM R4 3:50 PM R5 4:25 PM R6 5:00 PM R7 5:30 PM R8 6:00 PM

Race 2

2:40 PM
1765m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st FRINGILLA 📍 Place Pick
2nd MURSHIDI 💡 Saver
3rd LITTLE ALLY BAMA
4th KING WINSTON
✅ Place bet — won outright — FRINGILLA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MURSHIDI ran a place
Competitive Lean
Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.
9
FRINGILLA W $2.40·P $1.08
win or place
Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.
8
MURSHIDI P $1.07
Saver · place
Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. FRINGILLA TOP RATED 1 $2.40 $1.08 $3.25
8. MURSHIDI FAV 3 $2.30 $1.07 $3.75
2. NIGHTOWL (NZ) 13 $10.00 $2.05 $10.47
7. KING WINSTON 9 $11.00 $2.20 $11.17
10. LITTLE ALLY BAMA 11 $20.00 $3.30 $11.63
5. SHEISTHEBOSS 4 $31.00 $4.00 $15.44
3. TRENTINO 7 $26.00 $3.75 $16.31
11. HELTER PELTZER 6 $201.00 $11.00 $67.64
12. DARK ROSEY 5 $201.00 $11.00 $71.12
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 59% 86% 22*
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 67% 33*
2.50–3.49 35% 75% 69
3.50–4.99 24% 65% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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