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Race 8

6:00 PM
1765m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st STAY HUMBLE 📍 Place Pick
2nd SARAPO (GB)
3rd LUNAR FORCE
4th KIWI JENNI (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — STAY HUMBLE finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
STAY HUMBLE W $2.45·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. STAY HUMBLE FAV TOP RATED 10 $2.45 $1.20 $4.11
10. KIWI JENNI (NZ) 9 $6.50 $1.90 $5.95
3. SUPERSTOCK (NZ) 3 $5.50 $1.70 $6.67
5. SARAPO (GB) 1 $6.00 $1.80 $7.26
2. MICKIDABEEL 12 $10.00 $2.45 $10.28
4. LUNAR FORCE 7 $12.00 $2.80 $10.93
14. MOZU MARCASSIN (JPN) 5 $10.00 $2.45 $12.08
13. KING TAGALOA 14 $81.00 $7.50 $33.92
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 59% 86% 22*
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 67% 33*
2.50–3.49 35% 75% 69
3.50–4.99 24% 65% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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