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BALLARAT

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Race 10

4:30 PM
1600m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st HAARACAINE (IRE)
2nd THE MUFFIN MAN
3rd FALLS OF ACHARN (GB)
4th CAPTAIN REDBEARD (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — SOLDIER BOI didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
9
SOLDIER BOI P $1.45
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
4
ARDASHIR (FR) W $14.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. SOLDIER BOI FAV TOP RATED 8 $3.60 $1.45 $5.74
5. CAPTAIN REDBEARD (NZ) 5 $4.80 $1.80 $5.98
11. THE MUFFIN MAN 7 $3.90 $1.55 $6.50
2. HAARACAINE (IRE) 2 $8.00 $2.40 $10.41
4. ARDASHIR (FR) 1 $14.00 $3.75 $12.29
1. FALLS OF ACHARN (GB) 6 $13.00 $3.50 $12.31
10. PHILHARMONIC 11 $17.00 $4.20 $13.84
8. QUEEN OF TUSCANY 4 $23.00 $4.80 $18.22
6. DURBAN HARBOUR 9 $26.00 $5.25 $22.11
3. SO BRAVE 10 $26.00 $5.25 $22.63
7. ASEVENTY SEVEN (NZ) 3 $61.00 $8.00 $33.73
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 32*
2.00–2.49 44% 63% 41*
2.50–3.49 36% 65% 92
3.50–4.99 this race 23% 58% 60

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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