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BALLARAT

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Race 3

1:00 PM
1000m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISS DIVIDEND 📍 Place Pick
2nd ALL EYES ON ERIN
3rd EXPLOSIVE MAGIC
4th RUBY GUILD
✅ Place bet — won outright — MISS DIVIDEND finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
MISS DIVIDEND P $1.32
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
DUCHESS XENIA W $14.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. MISS DIVIDEND FAV TOP RATED 11 $3.00 $1.32 $4.95
8. HOWCANI RESISTYOU 6 $5.00 $1.70 $5.58
4. DIAMOND HEIST 7 $4.00 $1.45 $6.32
5. DUCHESS XENIA 2 $14.00 $3.50 $10.70
11. RUBY GUILD 10 $10.00 $2.75 $11.38
6. EXPLOSIVE MAGIC 1 $10.00 $2.70 $11.81
7. GIRTON 9 $21.00 $4.20 $15.06
9. KISS ME IN PARIS 3 $31.00 $5.75 $19.45
1. ALL EYES ON ERIN 12 $26.00 $4.75 $21.06
2. ALVEAR 8 $61.00 $7.00 $34.38
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 32*
2.00–2.49 44% 63% 41*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 65% 92
3.50–4.99 23% 58% 60

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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