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EAGLE FARM

R1 11:43 AM R2 12:53 PM R3 1:28 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:43 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:37 PM R9 5:15 PM R10 5:40 PM

Race 5

2:43 PM
1800m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st SAMARELLE (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MIRRA IMPACT
3rd BECAMO
4th BARBRAY 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — SAMARELLE (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
SAMARELLE (NZ) W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
BARBRAY P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. SAMARELLE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.95 $1.08 $2.85
3. BARBRAY 3 $4.00 $1.34 $5.35
12. GALWAY FLYER 5 $7.00 $1.85 $8.72
5. MIRRA IMPACT 2 $8.50 $2.10 $9.17
7. ROGUERY 1 $17.00 $3.40 $13.61
10. BARCELO 13 $18.00 $3.60 $13.61
4. BECAMO 12 $31.00 $4.75 $15.79
6. KAIZAD 7 $71.00 $8.00 $36.26
1. ZWEIG (IRE) 11 $151.00 $16.00 $4,516.04
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 60% 87% 30*
2.00–2.49 41% 76% 59*
2.50–3.49 25% 60% 115
3.50–4.99 15% 49% 71

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.