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ROSEHILL

R1 11:35 AM R2 12:10 PM R3 12:45 PM R4 1:20 PM R5 1:55 PM R6 2:35 PM R7 3:10 PM R8 3:50 PM R9 4:25 PM R10 5:05 PM

Race 10

5:05 PM
1100m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st FIERCE 📍 Place Pick
2nd LULUMON
3rd ELLIPSIS
4th MERCY ME 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — FIERCE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
FIERCE P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
MERCY ME W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. FIERCE FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.60 $1.26 $3.73
13. ELLIPSIS 12 $3.80 $1.38 $5.29
10. MERCY ME 11 $5.50 $1.80 $6.35
6. KIMBERLEY SECRETS 14 $14.00 $3.40 $13.03
14. KUJENGA 4 $12.00 $3.10 $13.41
5. OAKFIELD JUPITER 2 $21.00 $4.25 $14.46
7. LULUMON 16 $17.00 $3.80 $15.83
11. REGIMENTAL COLOURS 7 $19.00 $4.20 $17.13
1. STORM THE RAMPARTS 8 $61.00 $7.50 $40.42
8. WINNING REVOLUTION 5 $101.00 $12.00 $53.20
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 53% 79% 34*
2.00–2.49 48% 87% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 67% 67
3.50–4.99 14% 55% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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