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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 3

6:15 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st CELESTRA
2nd FORT OF DREAMS 💡 Saver
3rd LA VELOCITA
4th RED TIDE
❌ Unplaced — THE SHERIFF didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — FORT OF DREAMS ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
13
THE SHERIFF P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
2
FORT OF DREAMS W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
13. THE SHERIFF FAV TOP RATED 10 $3.00 $1.34 $4.50
3. CELESTRA 4 $5.50 $1.95 $7.23
2. FORT OF DREAMS 7 $5.50 $1.90 $8.07
1. BEAST FIGHTER 8 $7.50 $2.35 $9.28
11. LADY BLANC 3 $11.00 $3.20 $10.43
4. LA VELOCITA 11 $14.00 $3.70 $14.41
12. TAGABELLA 2 $14.00 $3.70 $16.33
10. RED TIDE 12 $14.00 $3.70 $16.50
5. NO DRAMA 6 $26.00 $5.00 $18.66
8. MARCH ON BY 9 $26.00 $5.00 $19.67
6. PICCINA 1 $126.00 $14.00 $62.56
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 51% 86% 35*
2.00–2.49 29% 71% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 41% 69% 59*
3.50–4.99 24% 38% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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