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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 7

8:15 PM
1600m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ITSUKUSHIMA
2nd MISS CASTELVECCHIO
3rd TWO SIGMA (NZ)
4th CROCODILE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — CROCODILE didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
6
CROCODILE W $2.05·P $1.09
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. CROCODILE FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.05 $1.09 $2.98
4. MISS CASTELVECCHIO 3 $3.80 $1.28 $5.66
10. VENETIAN CHOICE 10 $12.00 $2.65 $11.14
7. FINANCE SHOGUN 9 $12.00 $2.65 $11.19
3. KASTUN STAR 12 $11.00 $2.40 $11.20
11. TWO SIGMA (NZ) 1 $18.00 $3.50 $12.39
1. ITSUKUSHIMA 4 $13.00 $2.70 $12.50
2. ROGAN (NZ) 13 $41.00 $5.25 $26.16
13. SHEER LUNACY 7 $151.00 $11.00 $48.19
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 51% 86% 35*
2.00–2.49 this race 29% 71% 38*
2.50–3.49 41% 69% 59*
3.50–4.99 24% 38% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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