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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:08 PM R2 5:38 PM R3 6:08 PM R4 6:38 PM R5 7:10 PM R6 7:40 PM R7 8:10 PM R8 8:40 PM

Race 8

8:40 PM
1400m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st AGADOO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HALEN
3rd GEE GEES ME BOY
4th KAKIA
✅ Best Bet won — AGADOO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
AGADOO W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
HOLD THE DOOR (NZ) P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. AGADOO FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.60 $1.03 $2.69
1. KAKIA 10 $8.00 $1.95 $8.32
5. HOLD THE DOOR (NZ) 1 $7.00 $1.75 $9.80
4. GEE GEES ME BOY 11 $13.00 $2.65 $10.73
11. I'M CHEV 2 $15.00 $3.00 $12.46
8. THISISMYTURF 6 $15.00 $2.90 $13.19
2. CHICANE 7 $19.00 $3.40 $13.74
10. HALEN 4 $26.00 $4.00 $18.83
12. TIZSA NICE DROP 8 $71.00 $6.75 $32.62
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 31% 81% 32*
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 50*
3.50–4.99 18% 54% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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